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Comparing and Modeling Argumentation in German Political Communication across Arenas

Paper · 2026 · Nina Vikhrova, Johannes Kuhling, Sebastian Haunss et al.

Summary

The paper asks whether political argumentation changes with the venue where it happens, and whether current language models can find arguments automatically. The authors built a German corpus of about 17k sentences on a single topic, COVID-19, so that differences reflect the venue rather than the subject. It covers three arenas: Bundestag plenary speeches, health committee protocols and government press conferences (Bundespressekonferenz).

Annotators marked spans where a claim, meaning a demand, plan or recommendation, is backed by a justification. Each justification received a type, a flag for whether it falls inside the subject domain, and a thematic category.

Contrary to the authors' hypothesis, press conferences argue least often but rely most on domain expertise. Plenary speeches lean mostly on normative reasoning.

A zero-shot pilot with five open-weight LLMs showed that span boundaries are hard to pin down. The models also misjudge how dense arguments are: they rarely accept that a text contains none. A baseline treating every sentence as an argument beat the best LLMs on F1 in two arenas.

The work matters as a rare comparison across arenas and as evidence about how LLMs fail at this task.

Key points

  • Data sources: GermaParl for plenary speeches, Bundestag archive pages for health committee protocols, and jungundnaiv.de transcripts for press conferences.

  • Coverage and filtering: the period runs from early 2020 to April 2023. A COVID dictionary of 1,958 keywords, based on Leibniz IDS terms, reduced 118,745 speeches, 205 protocols and 512 press conferences to 9,737 relevant texts.

  • Annotation scheme: justifications fall into three families:

    • evidence-based (disciplinary);
    • normative/pragmatic;
    • ideological/analogical.

    Each also carries an in-domain flag and a medical vs. non-medical split. Arguments are sorted into six subject classes: healthcare, containment, social, research, international and logistics.

  • Argument density: gold densities are roughly 22 arguments per 100 sentences in the Bundestag, 12 in the committee and 3 in press conferences. About 80% (406 of 490) of press-conference contributions contain no argument at all.

  • Model results:

    • All models produced too few arguments on Bundestag text.
    • Most produced too many on press conferences; Gemma3 predicted 26 per 100 sentences there.
    • Phi4mini matched the gold density best on plenary and committee data, and QWen3 came closest on press conferences.
    • The more a model's predicted density deviated from the gold density, the lower its F1 (Spearman ρ=−0.56, n=12, p=0.06).
    • The every-sentence baseline scored high F1 but near-zero or negative Gamma, which shows its predictions are essentially random.

Interesting ideas

  • I1. Checking how often a system predicts a phenomenon against how often it really occurs is a cheap diagnostic, and here it tracked overall quality fairly well.
  • I2. Pairing a trivial "label everything" baseline with a chance-corrected agreement score shows when a high F1 is just an artefact of dense data.
  • I3. Instruction-tuned models tend to accept the instruction's premise, here that arguments exist, so they hesitate to return an empty result.
  • I4. Keeping the topic fixed while varying the venue isolates register effects from vocabulary shifts.
  • I5. Labelling a claim's support as evidential, normative or rhetorical, with a separate in-domain flag, gives an interpretable layer above plain claim detection.

For Mova

How these ideas could serve Mova, our small open language model — its files, stages and tests:

  • I1 (learn): log predicted vs. gold rates of frames, coreference links or speech acts for each genre, and flag a run when the rates drift apart.
  • I2 (learn): add such degenerate baselines as negative controls, and report a chance-corrected agreement figure next to F1 whenever we evaluate span extraction.
  • I3 (answer): include test items whose correct reply is "nothing / not stated" so that LLM teachers and our readers are penalised for inventing content.
  • I4 (tree): assess the perceptron parser and gparse on same-topic text drawn from different registers (speech, dialogue, Q&A) to measure pure register degradation.
  • I5 (frames): attach a justification type and a domain flag to the argue/claim speech acts in prag, so that a "because" clause records what kind of support it offers.

Our summary of the paper, in our own words — not its text. The work belongs to its authors; read it at the links above.

 Institutions

 Fields, topics and concepts

Cite

Cite as Nina Vikhrova, Johannes Kuhling, Sebastian Haunss and Sebastian Pado. 2026. Comparing and Modeling Argumentation in German Political Communication across Arenas. arXiv:2608.00288.

The paper itself, not this page. BibTeX from the library's record of the work. DOI 10.48550/arxiv.2608.00288 · arXiv 2608.00288

@misc{vikhrova2026comparing,
  title = {{Comparing and Modeling Argumentation in German Political Communication across Arenas}},
  author = {Nina Vikhrova, Johannes Kuhling, Sebastian Haunss and Sebastian Pado},
  year = {2026},
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2608.00288},
  eprint = {2608.00288},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2608.00288}
}

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  34. Stephen E. Toulmin. 2003. The Uses of Argument, 2 edition. Cambridge University Press. Full Annotation Guidelines (follow on next complete page) Annotationsrichtlinien - Argumentation Es sollten Argumente in den gegebenen Texten annotiert werden. Ein Argument kann ein oder mehrere Sätze enthalten. Ein Argument besteht aus Begründungen und einer Behauptung, die begründet wird. Schritte zur Annotation: 1. Finde eine Behauptung im Text (→ Definition von Argumenten) 2. Kennzeichne den Text um die Behauptung (ca. 2-3 Sätze) 2. 1. Weise ein Thema dem Abschnitt zu (→ Annotation von Themen) 2.2. Kennzeichne die Begründungen, die innerhalb dieses Textabschnitts enthalten sind (→ Definition von Argumenten) 2.2.1 Gebe bei jeder Begründung an, ob es sich um eine disziplinäre Begründung handelt (→ Annotation von Argumenten) 2.2.1.1 wenn Begründung (Evidenz-theoretisch), dann weitere, binäre Unterscheidung in medizinisch oder nicht medizinisches Begründung Bemerkungen: • Fokus auf eindeutige Abschnitte • unsichere Annotation vermeiden, dennoch sollen bei impliziter Forderung oder Schlussfolgerung das Argument annotiert werden, solange die implizite Forderung erkannt wird und das Annotationsschema funktioniert, d.h. 2.1. und 2.2. können angewandt werden • Eine Schlussfolgerung in einem Argument darf eine Begründung in einem anderen sein Beispiel Meine sehr verehrten Damen und Herren, die Fraktion der FDP vertritt in ihrem Antrag die Auffassung, dass es in der Bevölkerung eine Unsicherheit über Teststrategien auf das Corona-Virus gebe und sich diese zuletzt weiter vergrößert habe. Es müsse für die Menschen nachvollziehbar sein, nach welchen Kriterien die begrenzten Test-Ressourcen verwendet würden. Daher müsse die nationale Teststrategie an den Prinzipien der Zielgerichtetheit und des Risikogruppenschutzes ausgerichtet werden. Die Strategie sowie die Quarantäne und Testempfehlungen müssten stetig anhand der wissenschaftlich aktualisierten Infektionsdynamik und Viruslast angepasst werden, da sich die wissenschaftliche Datenbasis zu SARS-CoV2 ständig erweitere. Im Einzelnen fordert die Fraktion unter anderem, Altenpflegekräfte alle 14 Tage zu testen, um Risikogruppen zu schützen, und Patienten mit Symptomen weiterhin priorisiert zu testen. Außerdem solle dafür Sorge getragen werden, dass es mit dem Ausbau digitaler Meldewege und dem 24/7-Betrieb von Laboren und Gesundheitsämtern zu deutlich weniger Verzögerungen der Ergebnisübermittlungen und eventueller Maßnahmen komme. Ich freue mich auf eine angeregte Diskussion mit unseren Sachverständigen zu diesen Fragen. Argument 1: Es müsse für die Menschen nachvollziehbar sein, nach welchen Kriterien die begrenzten Test-Ressourcen verwendet würden. Daher müsse die nationale Teststrategie an den Prinzipien der Zielgerichtetheit und des Risikogruppenschutzes ausgerichtet werden. Argument 2: Die Strategie sowie die Quarantäne und Testempfehlungen müssten stetig anhand der wissenschaftlich aktualisierten Infektionsdynamik und Viruslast angepasst werden, da sich die wissenschaftliche Datenbasis zu SARS-CoV2 ständig erweitere. Argument 3: Im Einzelnen fordert die Fraktion unter anderem, Altenpflegekräfte alle 14 Tage zu testen, um Risikogruppen zu schützen, und Patienten mit Symptomen weiterhin priorisiert zu testen. Argument 4: Außerdem solle dafür Sorge getragen werden, dass es mit dem Ausbau digitaler Meldewege und dem 24/7-Betrieb von Laboren und Gesundheitsämtern zu deutlich weniger Verzögerungen der Ergebnisübermittlungen und eventueller Maßnahmen komme. ■ – Behauptung ■ - Begründung Definition von Argumenten Argumentation: besteht aus einer Behauptung und Begründungen, wobei nicht immer beide Elemente explizit vorhanden sind. Die Begründungen sollen gekennzeichnet werden. In schriftlichen Quellen können Argumente impliziter, bspw. eher als Schlussfolgerung/Erklärung auftreten. Behauptung: find

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