Statistical Power and Translationese in Machine Translation Evaluation
Written for the Research library (claude-opus-5-5) from the paper text. Original — aclanthology.org/2020.emnlp-main.6.pdf
Summary
This paper asks how reliable machine translation (MT) evaluation is when test sets mix two kinds of source text. Some sources were written in that language. Others are human translations from the target side, which carry "translationese" features. WMT used to build test sets from both directions, so the authors compare system rankings on forward- versus reverse-created halves of past WMT data. Rankings mostly agree under human evaluation, but some cases diverge. Under BLEU, agreement can almost disappear. The authors therefore recommend dropping reverse-created data, and an earlier version of this work led WMT to do so from 2019.
They also revisit the Chinese–English human-parity claim of Hassan et al. (2018). That evaluation reported many judgments, but these covered few distinct sentences. A new document-context evaluation with Direct Assessment-style ratings shows human translation significantly ahead of the claimed system. A power analysis of the Wilcoxon rank-sum test explains why small samples produce misleading ties. It also gives guidance on minimum sample sizes for future parity studies.
Key points
- Human rankings: in one WMT-18 Turkish–English case, forward and reverse rankings correlated at only r = 0.703.
- BLEU rankings: the forward–reverse correlation dropped as low as 0.106.
- Sample size in Hassan et al. (2018): the paper reported at least 1,827 judgments per system, but only 92 distinct forward-created translations were evaluated. The authors propose reporting distinct translations (n) separately from judgments (N). In that data, MT beats human translation only on reverse-created test data.
- Segment-level re-evaluation: with document context and about 860–900 distinct segments per system, REF-HT significantly outperforms both REF-PE and Combo-6. The REF-PE/Combo-6 tie is genuine, but REF-PE is post-edited MT, so the tie does not support parity.
- Document-level rating: with roughly 106–114 documents per system, the test shows a tie, which the authors attribute to low statistical power (risk of Type II error). The evaluation data is publicly released.
Cited by
- Findings of the 2021 Conference on Machine Translation (WMT21)
- Findings of the 2020 Conference on Machine Translation (WMT20)
- Findings of the WMT24 General Machine Translation Shared Task: The LLM Era Is Here but MT Is Not Solved Yet
- Findings of the WMT25 General Machine Translation Shared Task: Time to Stop Evaluating on Easy Test Sets
- Document-Level Machine Translation with Large Language Models
- Lost in Translationese? Reducing Translation Effect Using Abstract Meaning Representation
Cite
@inproceedings{graham2020statistical,
title = {{Statistical Power and Translationese in Machine Translation Evaluation}},
author = {Graham, Yvette and Haddow, Barry and Koehn, Philipp},
booktitle = {Proceedings of the 2020 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing (EMNLP)},
year = {2020},
doi = {10.18653/v1/2020.emnlp-main.6},
url = {https://doi.org/10.18653/v1/2020.emnlp-main.6}
}References
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