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Literature Meets Data: A Synergistic Approach to Hypothesis Generation

Paper · 2025 · Haokun Liu, Yangqiaoyu Zhou, Mingxuan Li et al.

Summary

LLM-based hypothesis generation has mostly followed one of two paths. Theory-driven methods mine published papers but adapt poorly to new data. Data-driven methods induce patterns from labeled examples but may overfit a single dataset. The authors ask whether combining the two helps, and they build what they call the first system that does so. Paper summaries are produced from PDFs converted with S2ORC-doc2json. These summaries are then injected into the HypoGeniC pipeline in two ways:

  • HypoRefine, where literature and data agents alternately refine newly proposed hypotheses.
  • A union strategy, which merges a literature-only bank with a data-driven bank after removing redundant hypotheses.

The approach is tested on five classification datasets that span identifying deception, AI-generated content and signs of mental stress, as well as predicting how persuasive an argument is. It generalizes better out of distribution than few-shot prompting, literature-only and data-only baselines. In a human study, the generated hypotheses helped people make better judgments. The work suggests that grounding data-driven discovery in prior knowledge yields hypotheses that are both more useful and more transferable.

Key points

  • On out-of-distribution test sets, accuracy gains over the baselines were:
    • +8.97% vs. few-shot inference
    • +15.75% vs. literature-only generation
    • +3.37% vs. data-only generation (HypoGeniC)
  • Human participants given the hypotheses improved accuracy by 7.44% on deception detection and 14.19% on AIGC detection. All participants rated the hypotheses as helpful.
  • Annotators judged literature-based and data-driven hypotheses as giving meaningfully different information in 84% of pairs for deception detection and 80% for AIGC detection, which indicates the two sources complement each other.
  • HypoRefine hypotheses scored significantly higher in clarity and plausibility than the commercial baselines NotebookLM and HyperWrite. NotebookLM's slight edge in novelty was not significant.
  • Code and data are released at github.com/ChicagoHAI/hypothesis-generation.

Our summary of the paper, in our own words — not its text. The work belongs to its authors; read it at the links above.

 Institutions

 Fields, topics and concepts

Cite

Cite as Haokun Liu, Yangqiaoyu Zhou, Mingxuan Li, Chenfei Yuan and Chenhao Tan. 2025. Literature Meets Data: A Synergistic Approach to Hypothesis Generation. Proceedings of the 63rd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers).

The paper itself, not this page. BibTeX from the library's record of the work. DOI 10.18653/v1/2025.acl-long.12

@inproceedings{liu2025literature,
  title = {{Literature Meets Data: A Synergistic Approach to Hypothesis Generation}},
  author = {Haokun Liu, Yangqiaoyu Zhou, Mingxuan Li, Chenfei Yuan and Chenhao Tan},
  booktitle = {Proceedings of the 63rd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers)},
  year = {2025},
  doi = {10.18653/v1/2025.acl-long.12},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.18653/v1/2025.acl-long.12}
}

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