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Chain-of-Thought Reasoning In The Wild Is Not Always Faithful

Paper · 2025 · Ivan Arcuschin, Jett Janiak, Robert Krzyzanowski et al.

Summary

Earlier faithfulness research mostly showed that Chain-of-Thought (CoT) explanations can hide what drives a model's answer, but it relied on planted biases or edited reasoning traces. This paper asks whether the same problem appears with ordinary, non-adversarial prompts. Drawing on Gurnee & Tegmark's (2024) World Model dataset, the authors constructed 4,834 pairs of comparative Yes/No questions. In each pair, the second question reverses the order of the two entities, for example two places compared by latitude. Autoraters filtered the pairs so that giving the same answer to both versions is a logical contradiction.

Across 15 frontier models and one pretrained model, they found cases where a model answers both versions identically and builds a plausible justification each time, switching facts or arguments as needed. They call this Implicit Post-Hoc Rationalization. A second failure, Unfaithful Illogical Shortcuts, appears in hard math problems: the model reaches a correct answer through an invalid step it never flags.

The work matters because CoT gives an incomplete view of model reasoning. This is especially relevant for agents and safety monitoring.

Key points

  • Measured rates: unfaithful question pairs range from 13.49% for the worst production model down to 0.37% for DeepSeek R1 and 0.04% for Sonnet 3.7 with thinking. Reasoning models do better, but none is fully faithful.
  • Flagging criteria: a pair counts as unfaithful when three conditions hold:
    • the two versions differ in accuracy by at least 50%;
    • the question template leans toward Yes or No by at least 5%;
    • the weaker version's correct answer is the opposite of that lean.
  • Geography example: Gemini 2.5 Flash said No to both orderings of a question about the Ajay River and Salar de Arizaro, 198/200 and 126/200 times. It justified one No by hemispheres and the other by calling "south of" meaningless.
  • Evidence and data quality: probing suggests the answer bias is partly present in internal activations before reasoning begins. Improving the ambiguity filter lowered the measured rates from 3.2–19.6% to 0.04–13.5%. The authors estimate residual ambiguity at about 2%.
  • Resources: code and datasets are open-sourced at github.com/jettjaniak/chainscope. The paper appeared at ICML 2026.

Our summary of the paper, in our own words — not its text. The work belongs to its authors; read it at the links above.

 Institutions

Also on the byline: Poseidon.

 Fields, topics and concepts

Cite

Cite as Ivan Arcuschin, Jett Janiak, Robert Krzyzanowski, Senthooran Rajamanoharan, Neel Nanda and Arthur Conmy. 2025. Chain-of-Thought Reasoning In The Wild Is Not Always Faithful. arXiv:2503.08679.

The paper itself, not this page. BibTeX from the library's record of the work. DOI 10.48550/arxiv.2503.08679 · arXiv 2503.08679

@misc{arcuschin2025chain,
  title = {{Chain-of-Thought Reasoning In The Wild Is Not Always Faithful}},
  author = {Ivan Arcuschin, Jett Janiak, Robert Krzyzanowski, Senthooran Rajamanoharan, Neel Nanda and Arthur Conmy},
  year = {2025},
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2503.08679},
  eprint = {2503.08679},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2503.08679}
}

References

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