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Disentangling Ambiguity from Instability in Large Language Models: A Clinical Text-to-SQL Case Study

Paper · 2026 · Angelo Ziletti and Leonardo D'Ambrosi

Summary

When an LLM translates clinical questions into SQL over EHR or claims databases, varied outputs can mean two different things. The question itself may admit several readings, and the user should be asked to clarify. Or the model may be unreliable even for one fixed reading, and a human should check the result. Ziletti and D'Ambrosi (Bayer AG) introduce CLUES, which separates these two cases.

CLUES treats generation as a two-step pipeline. First, the system produces several natural-language interpretations of the question. Then, for each interpretation, it generates, executes and verbalizes several SQL answers. Interpretations and answers become nodes of a bipartite graph, with edge weights from LLM-judged semantic similarity. An ambiguity score is computed from the interpretation block. An instability score is computed from the Schur complement, which removes the part of answer similarity that the interpretations already explain.

CLUES predicts failures better than Kernel Language Entropy (KLE) on AmbigQA/SituatedQA and on a new clinical Text-to-SQL benchmark. In deployment, where interpretations are generated on the fly, it stays competitive and adds a diagnosis of the error source. This supports routing each query to either clarification or review.

Key points

  • Two scores instead of one. Uncertainty is split into ambiguity (H_I) and conditional instability (H_R|I). The baseline, KLE-style result entropy (H_R), ignores where answers came from.
  • How the scores are computed.
    • Answer-level structure comes from a Schur complement with ε = 10⁻³ added for invertibility.
    • The result is projected to positive semidefinite form by clipping negative eigenvalues, so H_R|I ≥ 0.
    • A heat-diffusion kernel is applied with τ = 10. This value was chosen by requiring near-zero entropy for identical items, and results are robust for τ between 2 and 20.
  • Black-box compatible. Similarity is judged by an LLM prompt asking whether two texts would yield equivalent SQL (or the same factual answer), so any black-box LLM can be used.
  • Error concentration. Queries high in both ambiguity and instability make up 25% of the data but account for 51% of errors, which makes triage efficient.
  • Released resources. A clinical Text-to-SQL dataset with multiple interpretations per question and an interpretation-generation procedure for epidemiological queries are available at github.com/Bayer-Group/clues-clinical-nlp.

Our summary of the paper, in our own words — not its text. The work belongs to its authors; read it at the links above.

 Institutions

 Fields, topics and concepts

Cite

Cite as Angelo Ziletti and Leonardo D'Ambrosi. 2026. Disentangling Ambiguity from Instability in Large Language Models: A Clinical Text-to-SQL Case Study. Proceedings of the 8th Workshop on Clinical Natural Language Processing (Clinical NLP) @ LREC 2026.

The paper itself, not this page. BibTeX from the library's record of the work. DOI 10.63317/4qse3ioqyh8s

@inproceedings{ziletti2026disentangling,
  title = {{Disentangling Ambiguity from Instability in Large Language Models: A Clinical Text-to-SQL Case Study}},
  author = {Angelo Ziletti and Leonardo D'Ambrosi},
  booktitle = {Proceedings of the 8th Workshop on Clinical Natural Language Processing (Clinical NLP) @ LREC 2026},
  year = {2026},
  doi = {10.63317/4qse3ioqyh8s},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.63317/4qse3ioqyh8s}
}

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