The Surge of Anti-Semitism in German Social Media following the October 7 Attacks
Summary
The paper measures how the Hamas attacks of October 7, 2023, changed anti-Semitic talk in German social media. The authors gathered Judaism- and Israel-related posts from Facebook and Telegram (N = 125,718) using keywords, covering three months on either side of the attacks. They built a codebook grounded in the IHRA definition, with 26 sub-categories, diagnostic indicators, and positive and negative examples. A domain expert labelled about 800 posts, and this sample was used to compare open-weight LLMs and tune prompts. Each model was tested in two variants: post text alone, and post text plus information about the posting user. The best configuration reaches up to 83% F1 for the yes/no anti-Semitism decision. Adding user information helps most models and sharply reduces false alarms on posts that report or criticize anti-Semitism. Applied to the full corpus, the classifier shows a significant rise in anti-Semitism on both platforms after October 7. Telegram carries roughly ten times the prevalence of Facebook, and the two platforms' category profiles become more alike after the attacks. The study shows LLMs can scale expert-defined content analysis, though they still need human oversight.
Key points
- Corpus: 58,411 Facebook posts from 622 users and 67,307 Telegram posts from 1,000 channels. Only 21.2% (Facebook) and 9.6% (Telegram) of posts predate October 7.
- The taxonomy has 26 categories. They split into "classic" tropes, such as Jewish power (K07), evil (K02) and blood libel (K03), and Israel-related forms, such as boycott calls (K20), Apartheid analogies (K13) and genocide accusations.
- Per-category results for gpt-oss 120b vary widely. Boycott calls (K20) reach F1 0.81 and K15 reaches 0.79. Rare categories such as K21 (0.07) and K06 (0.00) essentially fail.
- Before the attacks, Facebook's anti-Semitism clustered around the alleged Gaza genocide narrative, while Telegram was dominated by power and conspiracy stereotypes.
- After the attacks, Facebook saw classic tropes rise (e.g., K02, K04), and Telegram saw Israel-related categories surge, with genocide accusations growing most.
Interesting ideas
- I1. Giving the classifier metadata about who wrote a post (name, handle) lets it separate voicing a view from reporting or condemning it, which cuts false positives. — For Mova (frames): Speaker and source attributes could feed speech-act and attribution analysis, helping decide whether a clause is asserted by the author or merely reported.
- I2. The codebook pairs each category with diagnostic cues and with negative examples that mark where a neighbouring, non-matching case begins. — For Mova (learn): LLM teacher prompts could include explicit near-miss negatives for each label, so silver annotations respect boundaries between similar frames or roles.
- I3. A compact expert-labelled set (~800 items) serves only to pick the model and tune the prompt, after which one setup is run over the whole corpus. — For Mova (learn): A small gold set could select which LLM teacher tier or witness parser to trust, before scaling silver data generation.
- I4. Reporting precision, recall and F1 per category alongside the count of positive instances exposes rare labels that are unreliable despite a good aggregate score. — For Mova (learn): Evaluation reports could list per-relation or per-frame scores with support, so weak rare classes are flagged rather than hidden by averages.
- I5. Comparing category shares rather than raw counts across two sources and two time periods reveals how a discourse's composition shifts and converges. — For Mova (world): The same proportion-based view could track how the mix of event types or states changes across text segments or corpora.
Cite
@misc{wiedemann2026surge,
title = {{The Surge of Anti-Semitism in German Social Media following the October 7 Attacks}},
author = {Wiedemann, Gregor and Wehrend, Daniel},
year = {2026},
doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2609.36290},
eprint = {2609.36290},
archivePrefix = {arXiv},
url = {https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2609.36290}
}References
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